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Galapagar vs San Sebastian Reyes B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galapagar play San Sebastian Reyes B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. It looks like a close match. Recently, Galapagar averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. San Sebastian Reyes B averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Galapagar won 0, San Sebastian Reyes B won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Galapagar and 1.50 for San Sebastian Reyes B. This points to a San Sebastian Reyes B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Galapagar
35%
Draws
35%
San Sebastian Reyes B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Sebastian Reyes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Galapagar picked up more points recently compared to San Sebastian Reyes B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 16%
San Sebastian Reyes B Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar San Sebastian Reyes B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs San Sebastian Reyes B
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Sebastian Reyes B vs Galapagar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Sebastian Reyes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 30 / 100
San Sebastian Reyes B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar San Sebastian Reyes B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Sebastian Reyes B or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Galapagar attacking → ← attacking San Sebastian Reyes B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galapagar scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

San Sebastian Reyes B let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Galapagar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Sebastian Reyes B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 47
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622