Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Galapagar vs San Sebastian Reyes B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Moreno A.
68' Event
Yaguez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Galapagar and San Sebastian Reyes B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Galapagar
30%
Draws
19%
San Sebastian Reyes B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
San Sebastian Reyes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar San Sebastian Reyes B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs San Sebastian Reyes B
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Sebastian Reyes B vs Galapagar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Sebastian Reyes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 95 / 100
San Sebastian Reyes B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar San Sebastian Reyes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galapagar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Galapagar found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

San Sebastian Reyes B let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: San Sebastian Reyes B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS San Sebastian Reyes B
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 6

San Sebastian Reyes B

(Away)
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 3
CP Parla Escuela
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)