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Galatas vs Desportiva Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2016 game between Galatas and Desportiva Ferroviaria finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Galatas
44%
Draws
20%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Galatas Clean Sheet 16%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galatas Desportiva Ferroviaria
Matches Played 31 42
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2018 Capixaba
Galatas vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
Mar 8, 2017 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Galatas
0:1
May 7, 2016 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Galatas
1:0
Apr 30, 2016 Capixaba
Galatas vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:1
Apr 21, 2016 Capixaba
Galatas vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galatas 36 / 100
Desportiva Ferroviaria 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galatas Desportiva Ferroviaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galatas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Desportiva Ferroviaria has conceded goals in 71% of their last 42 outings.

Galatas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Galatas VS Desportiva Ferroviaria
1.33 Goals Scored 1.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Ferroviaria1052315:817
2Galatas1045112:817
3Real Noroeste1051410:1016
4Linhares Futebol Clube1041513:1613
5Rio Branco ES1040611:1412
6CA Itapemirim1023511:169