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Galatas vs Estrela do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 2025
Galatas Logo

Galatas

1 - 2
FT
Estrela do Norte Logo

Estrela do Norte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estrela do Norte in this Capixaba 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Galatas
20%
Draws
52%
Estrela do Norte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estrela do Norte lately — more wins on the board than Galatas.
  • Estrela do Norte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Galatas Clean Sheet 10%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galatas Estrela do Norte
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.16 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Capixaba 2
Galatas vs Estrela do Norte
1:2
Mar 6, 2016 Capixaba
Galatas vs Estrela do Norte
2:0
Feb 13, 2016 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Galatas
0:0
Apr 7, 2013 Capixaba
Galatas vs Estrela do Norte
2:3
Feb 28, 2013 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Galatas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galatas 10 / 100
Estrela do Norte 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galatas Estrela do Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galatas found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Estrela do Norte has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Galatas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galatas VS Estrela do Norte
1.33 Goals Scored 1.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Galatas

(Home)
20 Sept
Galatas
0 : 2
Serra
14 Sept
Sport-ES
1 : 2
Galatas
05 Sept
Pinheiros
3 : 1
Galatas
30 Aug
Galatas
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
23 Aug
GEL
1 : 1
Galatas
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Estrela do Norte

(Away)
08 Aug
Estrela do Norte
1 : 1
Rive
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Jul
Estrela do Norte
5 : 0
Pinheiros
12 Jul
Rive
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serra 7 6 0 1 24:4 18
2 Estrela do Norte 7 5 0 2 14:4 15
3 Forte 7 3 2 2 13:4 11
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 7 3 2 2 14:8 11
5 Pinheiros 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
6 Galatas 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
7 Sport-ES 7 2 1 4 8:16 7
8 GEL 7 0 2 5 3:30 2
Promotion - Capixaba 2 2025 (Play Offs)