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Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Rams Park, Istanbul
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galatasaray host Fenerbahce in the Super Lig. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Galatasaray at 1.94 goals for, 1.71 against; Fenerbahce at 2.29 for, 0.94 against. Past meetings favor Galatasaray slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.13, favoring Fenerbahce. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Galatasaray
15%
Draws
54%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fenerbahce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 10%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galatasaray Fenerbahce
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 16 23
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.94 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Super Cup
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce
0:2
Dec 1, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray
1:2
Feb 24, 2025 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galatasaray 30 / 100
Fenerbahce 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galatasaray Fenerbahce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galatasaray scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Galatasaray remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Fenerbahce let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Galatasaray VS Fenerbahce
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Galatasaray

(Home)
17 Oct
Genclerbirligi
0 : 1
Galatasaray
13 Oct
Galatasaray
1 : 4
Barcelona
09 Oct
Galatasaray
3 : 1
Kasimpasa
02 Oct
Pendikspor
3 : 3
Galatasaray
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0
Galatasaray
Page 1 of 7

Fenerbahce

(Away)
17 Oct
Fenerbahce
3 : 0
Alanyaspor
14 Oct
Aston Villa
6 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Oct
Rizespor
0 : 3
Fenerbahce
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 8 6 1 1 17:11 19
2 Amedspor 8 5 2 1 18:9 17
3 Fenerbahce 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
4 Besiktas 7 5 0 2 16:8 15
5 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
6 Corum FK 8 4 1 3 18:13 13
7 Kasimpasa 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
8 Kocaelispor 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
9 Alanyaspor 8 3 3 2 8:9 12
10 Erzurumspor FK 8 3 2 3 5:11 11
11 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
12 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
13 Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 7:10 8
14 Genclerbirligi 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
15 Goztepe 7 1 3 3 15:15 6
16 Konyaspor 8 1 2 5 4:9 5
17 Samsunspor 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
18 Eyupspor 8 1 0 7 2:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)