Sport Picks
Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor AS Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Rams Park, Istanbul 
Match Events
5'
5'
Icardi M.
Assist: Kutucu A.
24'
24'
Torreira L.
26'
26'
Mamadou M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Galatasaray advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galatasaray
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Galatasaray carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Galatasaray's way, sitting at 60%.
- Galatasaray have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Galatasaray, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Galatasaray have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 68%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Galatasaray | Istanbulspor AS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor AS
3:1
Jan 25, 2024 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor AS
3:1
Sep 26, 2023 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Galatasaray
0:1
May 16, 2023 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Galatasaray
0:2
Mar 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Istanbulspor AS vs Galatasaray
0:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Galatasaray Compare
Top Goalscorer Icardi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torreira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Istanbulspor AS Compare
Top Goalscorer Mamadou M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Galatasaray 68 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Galatasaray Istanbulspor AS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Galatasaray Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Galatasaray found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Istanbulspor AS conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Galatasaray stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Galatasaray VS Istanbulspor AS
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Galatasaray
(Home) 02 Oct
Pendikspor
3 : 3 Galatasaray
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 Galatasaray
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3 Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
29 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 2 Goztepe
14 Aug
Galatasaray
2 : 2 Corum FK
08 Aug
Galatasaray
1 : 2 Villarreal
02 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 3 Rennes
Page 1 of 3
Istanbulspor AS
(Away) 20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1 Istanbulspor AS
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0 Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2 Igdir FK
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0 Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1 F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1 Istanbulspor AS
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0 Istanbulspor AS
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0 Istanbulspor AS
23 Aug
Vanspor FK
3 : 2 Istanbulspor AS
08 Aug
Bandirmaspor
3 : 0 Istanbulspor AS
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
