Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor AS

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Rams Park
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Icardi M.
Assist: Kutucu A.
24' Event
Torreira L.
26' Event
Mamadou M.

AI Match Summary

Galatasaray host Istanbulspor AS in the Turkish Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Istanbulspor AS have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Galatasaray have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Galatasaray slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 4, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.19, favoring Galatasaray. Galatasaray in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Galatasaray
6%
Draws
90%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Galatasaray has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Istanbulspor AS.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Istanbulspor AS.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Turkish Cup provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 10%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galatasaray Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor AS
3:1
Jan 25, 2024 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor AS
3:1
Sep 26, 2023 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Galatasaray
0:1
May 16, 2023 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Galatasaray
0:2
Mar 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Istanbulspor AS vs Galatasaray
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galatasaray Compare

Top Goalscorer Icardi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torreira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamadou M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galatasaray 10 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galatasaray Istanbulspor AS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galatasaray scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Istanbulspor AS let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Galatasaray went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Istanbulspor AS lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galatasaray VS Istanbulspor AS
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133