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Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Rams Park, Istanbul
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galatasaray host Kasimpasa in the Super Lig. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Kasimpasa have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Galatasaray have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.94. Past meetings favor Galatasaray slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.88, favoring Galatasaray. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Galatasaray
30%
Draws
35%
Kasimpasa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Galatasaray have won more games recently than Kasimpasa.
  • Win probability leans Galatasaray's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 10%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galatasaray Kasimpasa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.94 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa
3:0
Mar 2, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray
3:3
Sep 28, 2024 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa
3:3
Mar 17, 2024 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galatasaray 34 / 100
Kasimpasa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galatasaray Kasimpasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Galatasaray scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Kasimpasa has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Galatasaray has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Galatasaray VS Kasimpasa
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Galatasaray

(Home)
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0
Galatasaray
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Galatasaray
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
29 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 2
Goztepe
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Kasimpasa

(Away)
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0
Konyaspor
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Amedspor
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
22 Aug
Corum FK
0 : 1
Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)