Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016

Rapido de Bouzas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Galicia Mugardos play Rapido de Bouzas in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Galicia Mugardos averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Rapido de Bouzas averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Galicia Mugardos won 0, Rapido de Bouzas won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 7, 2016 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Galicia Mugardos and 2.50 for Rapido de Bouzas. This points to a Rapido de Bouzas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Galicia Mugardos

24%

Draws

39%

Rapido de Bouzas

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Rapido de Bouzas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Galicia Mugardos picked up more points recently compared to Rapido de Bouzas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 2.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Galicia Mugardos Clean Sheet 10%

Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Galicia Mugardos	Rapido de Bouzas
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	10
Draws	7	8
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.27	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Galicia Mugardos vs Rapido de Bouzas

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

3:3

Sep 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Rapido de Bouzas vs Galicia Mugardos

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia Mugardos 35 / 100

Rapido de Bouzas 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Galicia Mugardos Rapido de Bouzas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rapido de Bouzas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Galicia Mugardos attacking → ← attacking Rapido de Bouzas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galicia Mugardos scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Rapido de Bouzas let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Galicia Mugardos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rapido de Bouzas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 38

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Boiro	38	22	11	5	71:33	77
2	Cerceda	38	22	6	10	64:40	72
3	Deportivo Fabril	38	19	10	9	74:46	67
4	CD Choco	38	17	12	9	57:40	63
5	Racing Club Villalbes	38	15	13	10	51:43	58
6	Barco	38	15	12	11	55:54	57
7	Alondras	38	14	14	10	44:41	56
8	Rapido de Bouzas	38	15	10	13	51:46	55
9	Arosa SC	38	13	15	10	55:48	54
10	CD AS Pontes	38	13	10	15	49:54	49
11	Ribadumia	38	13	9	16	54:51	48
12	SD Negreira	38	11	15	12	47:48	48
13	Silva SD	38	12	12	14	53:56	48
14	Barbadas-Bentraces	38	11	12	15	47:58	45
15	SD Ordenes	38	12	9	17	33:45	45
16	Bergantinos	38	11	10	17	38:43	43
17	Galicia Mugardos	38	10	13	15	48:63	43
18	Ribadeo FC	38	8	11	19	41:68	35
19	Noia	38	8	8	22	28:59	32
20	Verin CF	38	5	16	17	30:54	31