Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016

Ribadumia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Galicia Mugardos play Ribadumia in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Galicia Mugardos averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Ribadumia averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Galicia Mugardos won 1, Ribadumia won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2016 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Galicia Mugardos and 2.56 for Ribadumia. This points to a Ribadumia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Galicia Mugardos

22%

Draws

40%

Ribadumia

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ribadumia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Galicia Mugardos picked up more points recently compared to Ribadumia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 2.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Galicia Mugardos Clean Sheet 10%

Ribadumia Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Galicia Mugardos	Ribadumia
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	9	13
Draws	7	7
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.27	1.26
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Galicia Mugardos vs Ribadumia

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

4:0

Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Ribadumia vs Galicia Mugardos

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia Mugardos 36 / 100

Ribadumia 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Galicia Mugardos Ribadumia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ribadumia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Galicia Mugardos attacking → ← attacking Ribadumia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galicia Mugardos scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ribadumia let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Galicia Mugardos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ribadumia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 46

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Boiro	38	22	11	5	71:33	77
2	Cerceda	38	22	6	10	64:40	72
3	Deportivo Fabril	38	19	10	9	74:46	67
4	CD Choco	38	17	12	9	57:40	63
5	Racing Club Villalbes	38	15	13	10	51:43	58
6	Barco	38	15	12	11	55:54	57
7	Alondras	38	14	14	10	44:41	56
8	Rapido de Bouzas	38	15	10	13	51:46	55
9	Arosa SC	38	13	15	10	55:48	54
10	CD AS Pontes	38	13	10	15	49:54	49
11	Ribadumia	38	13	9	16	54:51	48
12	SD Negreira	38	11	15	12	47:48	48
13	Silva SD	38	12	12	14	53:56	48
14	Barbadas-Bentraces	38	11	12	15	47:58	45
15	SD Ordenes	38	12	9	17	33:45	45
16	Bergantinos	38	11	10	17	38:43	43
17	Galicia Mugardos	38	10	13	15	48:63	43
18	Ribadeo FC	38	8	11	19	41:68	35
19	Noia	38	8	8	22	28:59	32
20	Verin CF	38	5	16	17	30:54	31