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Galicia vs CE Flamengo

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galicia play CE Flamengo in the Baiano 2 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Galicia averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. CE Flamengo averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Galicia won 2, CE Flamengo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 29, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Galicia and 1.06 for CE Flamengo. This points to a Galicia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Galicia
28%
Draws
31%
CE Flamengo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Galicia picked up more points recently compared to CE Flamengo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Galicia Clean Sheet 22%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia CE Flamengo
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.23 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 Baiano 2
Galicia vs CE Flamengo
1:0
Jan 29, 2017 Baiano
CE Flamengo vs Galicia
1:1
Jul 13, 2013 Baiano 2
Galicia vs CE Flamengo
4:1
Jul 7, 2013 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Galicia
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 41 / 100
CE Flamengo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia CE Flamengo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Galicia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Galicia attacking → ← attacking CE Flamengo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galicia scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

CE Flamengo let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Galicia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CE Flamengo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 41
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00