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Galicia vs Ipitanga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galicia in this Baiano 2 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Galicia
6%
Draws
4%
Ipitanga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Galicia have won more games recently than Ipitanga.
  • Model gives Galicia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Galicia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Galicia Clean Sheet 20%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Ipitanga
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2013 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Galicia
0:3
May 4, 2013 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Ipitanga
1:0
Jun 10, 2012 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Ipitanga
3:0
May 12, 2012 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Galicia
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 85 / 100
Ipitanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Ipitanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ipitanga conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Ipitanga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Galicia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (40 games).

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145