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Galicia vs Vitoria da Conquista Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Marcelinho
71'
Pinto I.
74' Event
Palacios J.

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2025 game between Galicia and Vitoria da Conquista finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria da Conquista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Galicia
15%
Draws
34%
Vitoria da Conquista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria da Conquista haven't matched Galicia's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Galicia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Galicia Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Vitoria da Conquista
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:2
Jun 20, 2024 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Vitoria da Conquista
0:0
Jun 11, 2023 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Galicia
1:1
Feb 11, 2017 Baiano
Galicia vs Vitoria da Conquista
0:3
Mar 6, 2016 Baiano
Galicia vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 36 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Vitoria da Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria da Conquista has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vitoria da Conquista registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Galicia found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS Vitoria da Conquista
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Galicia

(Home)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 8

Vitoria da Conquista

(Away)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 Bahia de Feira 9 6 2 1 28:5 20
3 Fluminense de Feira 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
4 Galicia 9 4 3 2 20:9 15
5 EC Ypiranga 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
7 SSA 9 2 4 3 10:8 10
8 Leonico 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
9 Grapiuna 9 0 1 8 4:31 1
10 Teixeira de Freitas 9 0 1 8 0:24 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2025 (Play Offs)