Sport Picks

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Galway United vs Bohemians

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Eamonn Deacy Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galway United play Bohemians in the Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Galway United averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. Bohemians averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Galway United won 1, Bohemians won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Galway United and 2.00 for Bohemians. This points to a Bohemians double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Galway United
18%
Draws
54%
Bohemians
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bohemians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Galway United picked up more points recently compared to Bohemians.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Galway United Clean Sheet 10%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galway United Bohemians
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.22 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Bohemians
2:4
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Galway United
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Bohemians
2:0
Jul 11, 2025 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Galway United
3:0
May 5, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Bohemians
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer McCarthy E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer Devoy D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader James-Taylor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galway United 27 / 100
Bohemians 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galway United Bohemians

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bohemians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bohemians & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Galway United attacking → ← attacking Bohemians

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galway United scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Bohemians let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Galway United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bohemians lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 56
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks23125638:1941
4Dundalk2398637:3435
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United22661029:3724
8Drogheda23571127:4022
9Waterford23481132:4620
10Sligo Rovers23551318:3720