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Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galway United host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Galway United have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Shamrock Rovers's 1.65 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Shamrock Rovers slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.25) back Shamrock Rovers to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Galway United
30%
Draws
37%
Shamrock Rovers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Shamrock Rovers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Galway United a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shamrock Rovers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Galway United Clean Sheet 19%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galway United Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
3:1
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers
1:3
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galway United 36 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galway United Shamrock Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galway United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Shamrock Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Galway United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Galway United VS Shamrock Rovers
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Galway United

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

Shamrock Rovers

(Away)
08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)