Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Galway United vs Shelbourne Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Boyd S. In: Moore S.
Out: Boyd S.
60'
Bolger A.
62'
McInroy K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Galway United
30%
Draws
29%
Shelbourne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galway United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Galway United have won more games recently than Shelbourne.
  • Win probability leans Galway United's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Galway United Clean Sheet 20%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galway United Shelbourne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Shelbourne
1:1
Aug 28, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Shelbourne
1:1
May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Galway United
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Galway United
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Galway United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Keohane J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Norris J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galway United 40 / 100
Shelbourne 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galway United Shelbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galway United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Galway United found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Galway United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galway United VS Shelbourne
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Galway United

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

Shelbourne

(Away)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)