Sport Picks

Ireland

FAI Cup 2025 Eamonn Deacy Park

Tolka

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Galway United play Tolka in the FAI Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Galway United averaged 1.51 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Tolka averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Galway United won 1, Tolka won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 18, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Galway United and 2.38 for Tolka. This points to a Galway United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Galway United

22%

Draws

35%

Tolka

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Galway United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Galway United picked up more points recently compared to Tolka.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Galway United Clean Sheet 10%

Tolka Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Galway United	Tolka
Matches Played	35	16
Wins	12	6
Draws	8	3
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.51	1.56
Goals Conceded	1.66	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2025 FAI Cup

Galway United vs Tolka

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Walsh S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hurley D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Tolka Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73

Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galway United 41 / 100

Tolka 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Galway United Tolka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Galway United or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Galway United attacking → ← attacking Tolka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galway United scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Tolka let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Galway United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tolka lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 21

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 3.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00