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Gama vs Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Martins C.
34' Event
Martins C.
48' Event
Vega Saenz E.

AI Match Summary

Castro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gama
11%
Draws
9%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castro lately — more wins on the board than Gama.
  • Gama are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Castro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Castro
3:4
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Gama
2:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Castro
1:3
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Gama
2:2
Mar 12, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Gama
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Vega Saenz E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jauregui X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 86 / 100
Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Castro let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Gama stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Castro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castro
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3
Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2
SD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0
Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4
Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
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Castro

(Away)
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Apr
SD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Castro
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Samano342010452:2270
2CD Tropezon34207758:3067
3Atletico Albericia34197864:3964
4Cayon CD341951061:4162
5Castro341611745:2659
6Vimenor341761163:4257
7Bezana341591046:4154
8Torina341481249:4450
9CD Barquereno3413101160:5949
10Guarnizo341115844:3748
11SD Revilla341261646:5342
12CD Colindres34991636:5336
13Gama34991634:5636
14Atletico Mineros34981733:5835
15Barreda Balompie348101649:6534
16Naval Reinosa34961940:5933
17CD Siete Villas34772029:5328
18CD Monte34552433:6420
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)