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Gama vs Cayon CD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Laherran C.
37' Event
Fernandez R.
74' Event
Gomez M.

AI Match Summary

Cayon CD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gama
15%
Draws
42%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cayon CD lately — more wins on the board than Gama.
  • Win probability leans Gama's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cayon CD have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gama Clean Sheet 17%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Cayon CD
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Cayon CD
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Gama
1:2
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Cayon CD
1:2
Sep 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Gama
5:0
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Cayon CD
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Laherran C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 41 / 100
Cayon CD 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Cayon CD has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Gama remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gama found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Cayon CD
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3
Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2
CD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0
Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4
Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 6

Cayon CD

(Away)
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 1
Cayon CD
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
19 Apr
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 0
Cayon CD
12 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 0
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)