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Gama vs Ceilandense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 game between Gama and Ceilandense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gama
20%
Draws
29%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceilandense haven't matched Gama's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Gama taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gama have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Gama Clean Sheet 20%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Ceilandense
Matches Played 63 33
Wins 47 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.98 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Brasiliense
Gama vs Ceilandense
1:0
Feb 2, 2024 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Gama
0:1
Feb 5, 2020 Brasiliense
Gama vs Ceilandense
5:0
Feb 18, 2015 Brasiliense
Gama vs Ceilandense
1:1
Mar 2, 2014 Brasiliense
Gama vs Ceilandense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 76 / 100
Ceilandense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (63 games).

Ceilandense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gama remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
Page 1 of 13

Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 11 7 2 2 11:5 23
2 Brasiliense 11 6 5 0 14:4 23
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 11 5 5 1 14:9 20
4 Sobradinho 11 6 1 4 22:12 19
5 Gama 11 4 3 4 11:9 15
6 Ceilandia 11 4 3 4 13:12 15
7 Unai EC 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
8 Santa Maria 11 4 2 5 9:11 14
9 Bosque Formosa 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
10 Ceilandense 11 3 2 6 9:18 11
11 Capital 11 2 2 7 8:15 8
12 Legiao 11 1 4 6 10:19 7
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 (Play Offs)