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Gama vs Pontejos

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 game between Gama and Pontejos finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontejos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gama
15%
Draws
34%
Pontejos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gama come out ahead of Pontejos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gama a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gama Clean Sheet 13%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Pontejos
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.11 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Gama
0:1
Dec 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Pontejos
1:1
Mar 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Pontejos
0:1
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Gama
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 39 / 100
Pontejos 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Pontejos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontejos let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gama stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Pontejos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3
Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2
CD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0
Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4
Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 8

Pontejos

(Away)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 38 25 8 5 87:32 83
2 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 25 8 5 76:27 83
3 Cayon CD 38 20 13 5 50:22 73
4 CD Laredo 38 18 14 6 54:30 68
5 Castro 38 20 8 10 52:33 68
6 Vimenor 38 17 10 11 53:43 61
7 Barreda Balompie 38 17 9 12 50:44 60
8 Santona 38 16 10 12 53:51 58
9 CD Siete Villas 38 15 8 15 48:49 53
10 Guarnizo 38 13 13 12 45:41 52
11 UM Escobedo 38 14 9 15 67:54 51
12 Gama 38 15 5 18 35:42 50
13 Bezana 38 11 14 13 42:47 47
14 Atletico Albericia 38 12 11 15 50:51 47
15 Pontejos 38 13 8 17 45:55 47
16 Ribamontan al Mar 38 11 12 15 42:51 45
17 Deportiva Santillana 38 9 9 20 43:65 36
18 Textil Escudo 38 8 6 24 35:69 30
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 5 7 26 33:85 22
20 San Martin Arena 38 2 6 30 16:85 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)