Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gambia Ports vs Bombada

Gambia Gambia

GFA League Serrekunda East Mini-Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gambia Ports play Bombada in the GFA League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gambia Ports averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Bombada averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Gambia Ports won 1, Bombada won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Gambia Ports and 1.06 for Bombada. This points to a Bombada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gambia Ports
32%
Draws
34%
Bombada
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Bombada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Gambia Ports picked up more points recently compared to Bombada.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 14%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Gambia Ports Clean Sheet 22%
Bombada Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia Ports Bombada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 GFA League
Bombada vs Gambia Ports
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Bombada
1:0
May 16, 2018 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Bombada
0:1
Jan 7, 2018 GFA League
Bombada vs Gambia Ports
0:0
Mar 5, 2017 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Bombada
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia Ports Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bombada Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia Ports 35 / 100
Bombada 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia Ports Bombada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bombada or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +35.2%
5.88
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gambia Ports attacking → ← attacking Bombada

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia Ports scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Bombada let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Gambia Ports went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bombada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 44
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
13Hawks307121125:3133
14TMT307121120:2933
15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830