Sport Picks

Gambia

GFA League Serrekunda East Mini-Stadium

Brikama United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gambia Ports play Brikama United in the GFA League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gambia Ports averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Brikama United averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Gambia Ports won 1, Brikama United won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 24, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Gambia Ports and 1.19 for Brikama United. This points to a Gambia Ports double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Gambia Ports

35%

Draws

31%

Brikama United

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gambia Ports

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Gambia Ports picked up more points recently compared to Brikama United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 48%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 18%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Gambia Ports Clean Sheet 20%

Brikama United Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 43%

Second Half Goal 46%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gambia Ports	Brikama United
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	11	10
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	0.87	1.23
Goals Conceded	0.65	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 GFA League

Gambia Ports vs Brikama United

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Dec 28, 2025 GFA League

Brikama United vs Gambia Ports

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

May 30, 2022 GFA League

Gambia Ports vs Brikama United

Possession: 60% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Feb 21, 2022 GFA League

Brikama United vs Gambia Ports

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

May 22, 2021 GFA League

Gambia Ports vs Brikama United

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia Ports 35 / 100

Brikama United 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gambia Ports Brikama United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gambia Ports or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +25.1%

4.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gambia Ports attacking → ← attacking Brikama United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia Ports scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Brikama United let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Gambia Ports went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Brikama United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 43

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Medina United	30	16	6	8	34:25	54
2	Fortune	30	14	11	5	33:21	53
3	Gambia Ports	30	12	11	7	26:18	47
4	Bombada	30	11	11	8	36:32	44
5	Brikama United	30	11	10	9	37:33	43
6	Real Banjul	30	9	14	7	30:25	41
7	BST Galaxy	30	9	12	9	29:32	39
8	Hart Academy	30	9	11	10	36:34	38
9	Team Rhino	30	9	10	11	26:29	37
10	Falcons	30	7	14	9	19:24	35
11	Dutch Lions	30	7	13	10	33:33	34
12	Greater Tomorrow	30	8	10	12	25:35	34
13	Hawks	30	7	12	11	25:31	33
14	TMT	30	7	12	11	20:29	33
15	Samger	30	6	14	10	23:27	32
16	Steve Biko	30	5	15	10	24:28	30