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Gambia Ports vs Elite United

Gambia Gambia

GFA League 2021/2022 Serrekunda East Mini-Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gambia Ports play Elite United in the GFA League 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gambia Ports averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. Elite United averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Gambia Ports won 2, Elite United won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 4, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Gambia Ports and 0.88 for Elite United. This points to a Gambia Ports double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gambia Ports
35%
Draws
25%
Elite United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gambia Ports

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gambia Ports picked up more points recently compared to Elite United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Gambia Ports Clean Sheet 25%
Elite United Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia Ports Elite United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2022 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Elite United
1:1
Dec 11, 2021 GFA League
Elite United vs Gambia Ports
0:1
May 31, 2021 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Elite United
0:1
Jan 31, 2021 GFA League
Elite United vs Gambia Ports
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 GFA League
Elite United vs Gambia Ports
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia Ports 41 / 100
Elite United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia Ports Elite United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gambia Ports or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +40.1%
6.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gambia Ports attacking → ← attacking Elite United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia Ports scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Elite United let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Gambia Ports went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Elite United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 31
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hawks30195638:1762
2Real Banjul30159649:2354
3Steve Biko301210827:2646
4Wallidan301111822:2244
5Brikama United30912928:2339
6Team Rhino30815722:2139
7WAA Banjul30717623:2238
8Marimoo30813920:2337
9Armed Forces308121033:3536
10Banjul Utd308121023:3036
11Samger30991221:2936
12Falcons308111136:4035
13Fortune30981326:3635
14Gamtel30971432:3234
15Gambia Ports30891320:3233
16Elite United307101323:3231