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Gambia Ports vs Falcons

Gambia Gambia

GFA League Serrekunda East Mini-Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Badjie M.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Gambia Ports and Falcons finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falcons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gambia Ports
22%
Draws
18%
Falcons
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gambia Ports

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Falcons haven't matched Gambia Ports's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gambia Ports's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Gambia Ports Clean Sheet 68%
Falcons Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia Ports Falcons
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 14
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Falcons
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 GFA League
Falcons vs Gambia Ports
0:2
Jul 15, 2022 GFA League
Falcons vs Gambia Ports
3:2
Jan 8, 2022 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Falcons
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia Ports Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Falcons Compare

Top Goalscorer Badjie M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia Ports 68 / 100
Falcons 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia Ports Falcons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Gambia Ports has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Falcons has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gambia Ports scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia Ports VS Falcons
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
13Hawks307121125:3133
14TMT307121120:2933
15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830