Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gambia U17 vs Guinea U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Sat, Jun 14, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2015. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Gambia U17 at 1.5 goals for, 1.46 against; Guinea U17 at 1.27 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Gambia U17 have won 1 to Guinea U17's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2014, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.56) back Gambia U17 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Gambia U17
15%
Draws
64%
Guinea U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guinea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Guinea U17 have won more games recently than Gambia U17.
  • Gambia U17 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Guinea U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gambia U17 Clean Sheet 15%
Guinea U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U17 Guinea U17
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Guinea U17 vs Gambia U17
0:0
Jun 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Guinea U17
0:0
Mar 19, 2009 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Guinea U17
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U17 48 / 100
Guinea U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U17 Guinea U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia U17 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: Guinea U17 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Gambia U17 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gambia U17 VS Guinea U17
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U17

(Home)
12 Apr
Uganda U17
2 : 1
Gambia U17
07 Apr
Gambia U17
1 : 2
Tunisia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Gambia U17
26 Oct
Ghana U17
3 : 0
Gambia U17
Page 1 of 5

Guinea U17

(Away)
28 Apr
Guinea U17
0 : 1
Cameroon U17
24 Apr
Nigeria U17
0 : 1
Guinea U17
21 Apr
Guinea U17
1 : 0
Morocco U17
18 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 2
Guinea U17
15 Apr
Guinea U17
0 : 2
Cameroon U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -