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Gambia U17 vs Malawi U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2009 Stade de Zéralda, Algiers
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Gambia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gambia U17
15%
Draws
42%
Malawi U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Malawi U17 haven't matched Gambia U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gambia U17's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Gambia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gambia U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Malawi U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U17 Malawi U17
Matches Played 24 11
Wins 11 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2009 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Malawi U17
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U17 75 / 100
Malawi U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U17 Malawi U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malawi U17 conceded in 91% of 11 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gambia U17 scored in 71% of their last 24 outings.

Malawi U17's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gambia U17 VS Malawi U17
1 Goals Scored 0.67
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U17

(Home)
12 Apr
Uganda U17
2 : 1
Gambia U17
07 Apr
Gambia U17
1 : 2
Tunisia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Gambia U17
26 Oct
Ghana U17
3 : 0
Gambia U17
Page 1 of 5

Malawi U17

(Away)
26 Oct
Malawi U17
0 : 3
South Africa U17
07 Dec
Zambia U17
3 : 1
Malawi U17
22 Sept
Botswana U17
2 : 1
Malawi U17
08 Sept
Malawi U17
2 : 1
Botswana U17
01 Nov
Malawi U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gambia U17 4
Malawi U17 0
Burkina Faso U17 0
Algeria U17 1
Final
Gambia U17 3
Algeria U17 1
Malawi U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 3