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Gambia U17 vs Somalia U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida
Gambia U17 Logo

Gambia U17

5 - 1
FT
Somalia U17 Logo

Somalia U17

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Drammeh A.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Drammeh A.
Assist: Susso B.
37'
Sub
Susso B. In: Mendy B.
Out: Susso B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gambia U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gambia U17
15%
Draws
0%
Somalia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gambia U17 have won more games recently than Somalia U17.
  • Win probability leans Gambia U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Gambia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gambia U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Somalia U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U17 Somalia U17
Matches Played 24 12
Wins 11 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Somalia U17
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Drammeh A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Somalia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Isse A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U17 85 / 100
Somalia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U17 Somalia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somalia U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Somalia U17 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gambia U17's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia U17 VS Somalia U17
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U17

(Home)
12 Apr
Uganda U17
2 : 1
Gambia U17
07 Apr
Gambia U17
1 : 2
Tunisia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Gambia U17
26 Oct
Ghana U17
3 : 0
Gambia U17
Page 1 of 5

Somalia U17

(Away)
07 Apr
Senegal U17
2 : 0
Somalia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Tunisia U17
25 Mar
Ivory Coast U17
7 : 1
Somalia U17
05 May
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Senegal U17
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Uganda U17 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U17 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Egypt U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Cameroon U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U17 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Gambia U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Somalia U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Angola U17 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Central Africa U17 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)