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Gambia U20 vs Uruguay U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup U20 2023 Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Mbye M.
38'
Garcia D.
45'
Sanyang S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Uruguay U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Gambia U20
20%
Draws
16%
Uruguay U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Uruguay U20 haven't matched Gambia U20's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Gambia U20 taking it.
  • Gambia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uruguay U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U20 Uruguay U20
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2023 World Cup U20
Gambia U20 vs Uruguay U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Uruguay U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U20 50 / 100
Uruguay U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U20 Uruguay U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Uruguay U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Uruguay U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uruguay U20
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U20

(Home)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 6

Uruguay U20

(Away)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
16 Feb
Uruguay U20
1 : 3
Colombia U20
13 Feb
Paraguay U20
1 : 0
Uruguay U20
11 Feb
Chile U20
1 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
USA U20 4
New Zealand U20 0
Gambia U20 0
Uruguay U20 1
Uzbekistan U20 0
Israel U20 1
Brazil U20 4
Tunisia U20 1
Colombia U20 5
Slovakia U20 1
England U20 1
Italy U20 2
Ecuador U20 2
South Korea U20 3
Argentina U20 0
Nigeria U20 2
Quarter-finals
USA U20 0
Uruguay U20 2
Israel U20 3
Brazil U20 2
Colombia U20 1
Italy U20 3
South Korea U20 1
Nigeria U20 0
Semi-finals
Uruguay U20 1
Israel U20 0
Italy U20 2
South Korea U20 1
Final
Uruguay U20 1
Italy U20 0
Israel U20 3
South Korea U20 1