Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Stade de la Paix, Bouaké

Gambia

2 - 3

Cameroon

Our Tip

Match Events

56'

Toko Ekambi K.

Assist: N'Koudou G.

69'

Sub

Colley O. In: Sanneh B.

Out: Colley O.

69'

Sub

Bobb Y. In: Fadera A.

Out: Bobb Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Cameroon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Gambia

15%

Draws

59%

Cameroon

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cameroon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence

Cameroon carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Gambia a 26% chance of winning this.
Cameroon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Cameroon, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Cameroon here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Gambia Clean Sheet 68%

Cameroon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gambia	Cameroon
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	15
Draws	8	8
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	1.55	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.59	0.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.60	1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Gambia vs Cameroon

2:3

Jan 29, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Gambia vs Cameroon

0:2

Sep 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations

Cameroon vs Gambia

2:0

Sep 6, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations

Gambia vs Cameroon

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Colley E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.23

Avg xA / game 0.8

Cameroon Compare

Top Goalscorer Toko Ekambi K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Wooh C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia 59 / 100

Cameroon 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gambia Cameroon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gambia scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Cameroon has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gambia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia VS Cameroon

2.71 Goals Scored 1

1.86 Goals Conceded 0.5

100% Over 1.5 50%

86% Over 2.5 13%

86% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia

(Home)

29 May

Iran

3 : 1

Gambia

31 Mar

Senegal

3 : 1

Gambia

18 Nov

Kuwait

2 : 2

Gambia

14 Oct

Seychelles

0 : 7

Gambia

10 Oct

Gambia

3 : 4

Gabon

Page 1 of 6

Cameroon

(Away)

31 Mar

China

0 : 2

Cameroon

27 Mar

Australia

1 : 0

Cameroon

09 Jan

Cameroon

0 : 2

Morocco

04 Jan

South Africa

1 : 2

Cameroon

31 Dec

Mozambique

1 : 2

Cameroon

Page 1 of 6