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Gambia W vs Kenya W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Gambia W Logo

Gambia W

0 - 1
FT
Kenya W Logo

Kenya W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gambia W
15%
Draws
42%
Kenya W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kenya W come out ahead of Gambia W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Kenya W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kenya W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gambia W Clean Sheet 10%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia W Kenya W
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Gambia W vs Kenya W
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Gambia W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia W 30 / 100
Kenya W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia W Kenya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia W scored in 71% of their last 21 games.

Defensive concern: Kenya W conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kenya W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia W VS Kenya W
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia W

(Home)
28 Oct
Gambia W
0 : 1
Kenya W
24 Oct
Kenya W
3 : 1
Gambia W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Gambia W
0 : 6
Senegal W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 5

Kenya W

(Away)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -