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Gamle Oslo vs Baerum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gamle Oslo host Baerum in the Division 3 - Group 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gamle Oslo have averaged 3.07 scored and 2.14 conceded recently, against Baerum's 2.97 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Gamle Oslo have won 3 to Baerum's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 5:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Gamle Oslo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gamle Oslo
15%
Draws
36%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gamle Oslo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Baerum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gamle Oslo a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Gamle Oslo Clean Sheet 14%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gamle Oslo Baerum
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 17
Draws 2 2
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 3.07 2.97
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Gamle Oslo
5:1
Oct 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Gamle Oslo vs Baerum
4:2
May 10, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Gamle Oslo
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Baerum vs Gamle Oslo
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Gamle Oslo vs Baerum
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gamle Oslo 57 / 100
Baerum 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gamle Oslo Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gamle Oslo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gamle Oslo's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Baerum let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Away concern: Baerum has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gamle Oslo VS Baerum
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gamle Oslo

(Home)
17 Oct
Grei
2 : 1
Gamle Oslo
10 Oct
Gamle Oslo
1 : 0
Nordstrand
03 Oct
Frigg
1 : 1
Gamle Oslo
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
4 : 1
Gamle Oslo
20 Sept
Gamle Oslo
1 : 2
Asker
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Baerum

(Away)
17 Oct
Baerum
2 : 1
Ullern
10 Oct
Asker
4 : 2
Baerum
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
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