Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gamle Oslo vs Stabaek

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ekorness K.
Assist: Nysveen J.
52' Event
Olderheim S.
Assist: Nysveen J.
55' Event
Ellegaard F.
Assist: Nielsen M.

AI Match Summary

Stabaek in this NM Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gamle Oslo
33%
Draws
40%
Stabaek
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Stabaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stabaek lately — more wins on the board than Gamle Oslo.
  • Win probability leans Stabaek's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Stabaek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stabaek, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Gamle Oslo Clean Sheet 13%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gamle Oslo Stabaek
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 3.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 NM Cup
Gamle Oslo vs Stabaek
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gamle Oslo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorlie S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekorness K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olderheim S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gamle Oslo 27 / 100
Stabaek 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gamle Oslo Stabaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gamle Oslo's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Stabaek conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gamle Oslo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gamle Oslo VS Stabaek
3.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gamle Oslo

(Home)
24 Jun
Gamle Oslo
6 : 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
20 Jun
Heming
1 : 0
Gamle Oslo
13 Jun
Gamle Oslo
2 : 3
Ullern
30 May
Gamle Oslo
1 : 3
Frigg
25 May
Asker
0 : 4
Gamle Oslo
Page 1 of 6

Stabaek

(Away)
03 Jul
Ranheim
2 : 5
Stabaek
27 Jun
Stabaek
2 : 0
Bryne
21 Jun
Strommen
1 : 0
Stabaek
14 Jun
Stabaek
3 : 1
Egersund
30 May
Moss
2 : 2
Stabaek
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Spjelkavik2
Brattvag4
Forde0
Hodd2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bryne-
Haugesund-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosenborg-
Ulfstind4
Alta3
Finnsnes0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)8
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sandefjord-
Brann-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Asker3
Skeid0
Vestfossen1
Mjondalen5
Bjarg2
Sogndal0
Vidar1
V. Haugesund4
Gamle Oslo2
Eidsvold TF1
Baerum0
Stabaek5
Flint0
Eik-Tonsberg1
Vigor0
Start3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Viking-
Lysekloster3
Sandviken0
Gneist IL2
Asane3
Strindheim2
Stjordals Blink3
Traeff1
Aalesund4
Arendal3
Jerv2
Flekkeroy1
Egersund2
Follo6
Notodden2
Nordstrand1
Lyn3
Stromsgodset-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Molde-
Ull/Kisa0
Strommen2
Pors1
Odds BK3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Trygg/Lade2
Ranheim1
Nardo0
Levanger6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ham-Kam-
Djerv 19193
Sotra2
Madla IL1
Sandnes Ulf2
Honefoss3
Raufoss0
Lorenskog1
Lillestrom4
Junkeren3
Rana FK1
Brumunddal1
Kongsvinger5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KFUM Oslo-
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiansund-
Valerenga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fredrikstad-
Kjelsas1
Grorud0
Rade0
Moss1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08-
1/32-finals
Brattvag5
Hodd4
TBD-
Bryne-
Haugesund-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosenborg-
Ulfstind2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)5
TBD-
Sandefjord-
Brann-
TBD-
Asker1
Mjondalen4
Bjarg2
V. Haugesund1
Gamle Oslo1
Stabaek4
Eik-Tonsberg3
Start0
TBD-
Viking-
Lysekloster3
Asane0
Stjordals Blink1
Aalesund2
Arendal2
Egersund3
Follo0
Lyn2
Stromsgodset-
TBD-
TBD-
Molde-
Strommen2
Odds BK3
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Trygg/Lade1
Levanger3
TBD-
Ham-Kam-
Djerv 19192
Sandnes Ulf6
Honefoss2
Lillestrom3
Junkeren0
Kongsvinger4
TBD-
KFUM Oslo-
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiansund-
Valerenga-
TBD-
TBD-
Fredrikstad-
Kjelsas2
Moss1
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08-
1/16-finals
Brattvag1
Bryne2
Haugesund1
Rosenborg4
Tromsdalen (TUIL)6
Sandefjord1
Brann5
Mjondalen1
Bjarg6
Stabaek1
Eik-Tonsberg0
Viking2
Lysekloster1
Aalesund3
Egersund3
Lyn2
Stromsgodset1
Molde2
Odds BK1
Bodo/Glimt3
Levanger1
Ham-Kam5
Sandnes Ulf1
Lillestrom2
Kongsvinger1
KFUM Oslo3
Tromso2
Kristiansund1
Valerenga1
Fredrikstad2
Kjelsas5
Sarpsborg 086
1/8-finals
Bryne4
Rosenborg2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)2
Brann3
Bjarg0
Viking3
Aalesund3
Egersund2
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt2
Ham-Kam0
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo2
Tromso1
Fredrikstad2
Sarpsborg 081
Quarter-finals
Bryne1
Brann2
Viking1
Aalesund2
Bodo/Glimt4
Lillestrom0
KFUM Oslo3
Fredrikstad2
Semi-finals
Brann2
Aalesund1
Bodo/Glimt2
KFUM Oslo1
Final
Brann3
Bodo/Glimt4