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Gamo Chencha FC vs Ethiopian Insurance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethiopian Insurance in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethiopian Insurance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gamo Chencha FC
25%
Draws
35%
Ethiopian Insurance
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Gamo Chencha FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gamo Chencha FC haven't matched Ethiopian Insurance's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gamo Chencha FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Gamo Chencha FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gamo Chencha FC Ethiopian Insurance
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 12
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.8 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gamo Chencha FC 58 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gamo Chencha FC Ethiopian Insurance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gamo Chencha FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopian Insurance has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Ethiopian Insurance's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gamo Chencha FC VS Ethiopian Insurance
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gamo Chencha FC

(Home)

Ethiopian Insurance

(Away)
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3
Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0
Dire Dawa
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
Ethiopian Insurance
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 St. Georges 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Welayta Dicha 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Fasil Kenema 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)