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Gancabasar vs FC Khankendi Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Musazada M.
52' Event
Achimi D.
82' Event
Achimi D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Gancabasar and FC Khankendi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gancabasar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Gancabasar
15%
Draws
10%
FC Khankendi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / Very High Confidence
  • Gancabasar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 75% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 20%
FC Khankendi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gancabasar FC Khankendi
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 10 0
Draws 3 1
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 1.59 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs FC Khankendi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gancabasar Compare

Top Goalscorer Achimi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Khankendi Compare

Top Goalscorer Musazada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gancabasar 31 / 100
FC Khankendi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gancabasar FC Khankendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Khankendi conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.

Gancabasar's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gancabasar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gancabasar VS FC Khankendi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gancabasar

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 6

FC Khankendi

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
03 Sept
FC Khankendi
1 : 1
Sabail
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 2
Difai Agsu

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Karvan 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)