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Gancabasar vs MOIK Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Nov 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gancabasar host MOIK Baku in the I Liqa. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Gancabasar at 1.77 goals for, 1.83 against; MOIK Baku at 1.4 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Gancabasar have won 0 to MOIK Baku's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.56) back MOIK Baku to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gancabasar
20%
Draws
40%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • MOIK Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gancabasar taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors MOIK Baku here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 15%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gancabasar MOIK Baku
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Gancabasar
2:1
Feb 5, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs MOIK Baku
2:2
Oct 16, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Gancabasar
4:1
Apr 10, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Gancabasar
2:1
Feb 6, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Gancabasar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gancabasar 84 / 100
MOIK Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gancabasar MOIK Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Gancabasar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gancabasar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gancabasar VS MOIK Baku
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gancabasar

(Home)
05 Nov
Sabail
2 : 2
Gancabasar
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
2 : 3
Gancabasar
22 Oct
Gancabasar
7 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
10 Oct
Gancabasar
2 : 0
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 6

MOIK Baku

(Away)
05 Nov
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
28 Oct
MOIK Baku
1 : 9
Sahdag Qusar
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Baku Sporting
1 : 3
MOIK Baku
09 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 0
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)