Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gancabasar vs Zaqatala PFK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gancabasar host Zaqatala PFK in the I Liqa. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Gancabasar at 1.57 goals for, 2 against; Zaqatala PFK at 1.03 for, 1.73 against. Head-to-head, Gancabasar have won 3 to Zaqatala PFK's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.50) point toward Gancabasar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gancabasar
15%
Draws
37%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Gancabasar have won more games recently than Zaqatala PFK.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Gancabasar taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 16%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gancabasar Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 2 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Zaqatala PFK
3:2
Mar 13, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Gancabasar
1:0
May 23, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Dec 19, 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Gancabasar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gancabasar 84 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gancabasar Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gancabasar scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Zaqatala PFK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Gancabasar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gancabasar VS Zaqatala PFK
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gancabasar

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Karvan 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)