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Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit vs Khazar Lankaran

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2007/2008 Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit play Khazar Lankaran in the Azerbaijan Cup 2007/2008. Khazar Lankaran are favorites here. Recently, Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. Khazar Lankaran averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit won 1, Khazar Lankaran won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 31, 2007 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.36 for Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit and 2.24 for Khazar Lankaran. This points to a Khazar Lankaran double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit
15%
Draws
62%
Khazar Lankaran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khazar Lankaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit picked up more points recently compared to Khazar Lankaran.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.36 vs 2.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit Clean Sheet 10%
Khazar Lankaran Clean Sheet 25%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit Khazar Lankaran
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 7 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 1.19 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.45 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2007 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lankaran vs Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit
0:5
Oct 25, 2007 Azerbaijan Cup
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit vs Khazar Lankaran
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit 23 / 100
Khazar Lankaran 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit Khazar Lankaran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khazar Lankaran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Khazar Lankaran & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit attacking → ← attacking Khazar Lankaran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Khazar Lankaran let in goals in 38% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Khazar Lankaran lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 51
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.60
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.60