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Gangan vs Horoya

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Gangan Logo

Gangan

1 - 0
FT
Horoya Logo

Horoya

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gangan in this Ligue 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gangan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Gangan
20%
Draws
65%
Horoya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Horoya lately — more wins on the board than Gangan.
  • Horoya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gangan Clean Sheet 19%
Horoya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangan Horoya
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 24
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Gangan
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Gangan vs Horoya
1:0
May 9, 2019 Ligue 1
Gangan vs Horoya
0:1
Apr 24, 2019 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Gangan
2:0
Mar 2, 2018 Ligue 1
Gangan vs Horoya
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangan 24 / 100
Horoya 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangan Horoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horoya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horoya has conceded goals in 60% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gangan found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Gangan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Horoya
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangan

(Home)
02 Jul
Horoya
2 : 1
Gangan
28 Jun
Gangan
0 : 0
Sangaredi
21 Jun
Gangan
0 : 0
Loubha
11 Jun
Milo FC
1 : 0
Gangan
08 Jun
Ashanti GB (SAG)
3 : 0
Gangan
Page 1 of 6

Horoya

(Away)
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milo FC 26 16 5 5 45:28 53
2 Hafia 26 14 6 6 49:31 48
3 Sangaredi 26 12 8 6 42:27 44
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 7 7 31:29 43
5 CI Kamsar 26 11 6 9 42:35 39
6 Horoya 26 10 7 9 25:20 37
7 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 8 9 9 26:27 33
8 Flamme Olympique 26 7 11 8 24:27 32
9 Wakriya AC 26 8 7 11 28:32 31
10 Loubha 26 9 3 14 26:34 30
11 Renaissance 26 7 9 10 19:27 30
12 SOAR 26 7 7 12 20:29 28
13 Sequence 26 7 6 13 26:35 27
14 Gangan 26 6 5 15 15:37 23
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)