Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gangneung vs Yeoju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gangneung host Yeoju Citizen in the K3 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gangneung have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Yeoju Citizen's 1 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Gangneung have won 1 to Yeoju Citizen's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.31, favoring Yeoju Citizen. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gangneung
22%
Draws
60%
Yeoju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Yeoju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Gangneung's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Yeoju Citizen have produced (1).
  • Model gives Yeoju Citizen a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 18%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangneung Yeoju Citizen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gangneung
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Yeoju Citizen
1:1
May 24, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gangneung
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gangneung
3:4
Apr 21, 2024 K3 League
Gangneung vs Yeoju Citizen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangneung 20 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangneung Yeoju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gangneung scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Yeoju Citizen let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gangneung remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gangneung VS Yeoju Citizen
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangneung

(Home)
15 Jul
Paju Frontier
3 : 2
Gangneung
11 Jul
Mokpo
2 : 1
Gangneung
04 Jul
Gangneung
2 : 0
Jecheon Citizen
28 Jun
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 2
Gangneung
21 Jun
Pocheon
3 : 1
Gangneung
Page 1 of 7

Yeoju Citizen

(Away)
15 Jul
Gyeongnam
0 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
10 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
05 Jul
Pyeongtaek Citizen
1 : 3
Yeoju Citizen
27 Jun
Changwon
2 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
20 Jun
Yangpyeong
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)