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Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Chuncheon Songam Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Lee Soo-Bin
22' Event
Kim Dae-Won
42' Event
Kim Dae-Won
Assist: Lee You-Hyeon

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Gangwon and Gimcheon Sangmu finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gangwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gangwon
17%
Draws
13%
Gimcheon Sangmu
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gangwon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gangwon come out ahead of Gimcheon Sangmu on wins alone.
  • Gangwon are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 68%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangwon Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 14 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 K League 1
Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0
May 11, 2025 K League 1
Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Dae-Won
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangwon 77 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangwon Gimcheon Sangmu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gangwon scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gangwon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangwon VS Gimcheon Sangmu
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Gangwon1887323:1131
3Jeonbuk1885525:1629
4Ulsan Hyundai1884626:2628
5Pohang1884619:1628
6Incheon1873822:1924
7Anyang1758422:1923
8Jeju SK1865716:1823
9Daejeon1847721:2019
10Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
11Gimcheon Sangmu18210617:2516
12Gwangju FC1715118:418