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Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Lee Soo-Bin
22' Event
Kim Dae-Won
42' Event
Kim Dae-Won
Assist: Lee You-Hyeon

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Gangwon and Gimcheon Sangmu finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gangwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gangwon
35%
Draws
39%
Gimcheon Sangmu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimcheon Sangmu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gangwon come out ahead of Gimcheon Sangmu on wins alone.
  • Gangwon are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 20%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangwon Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 15
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon
2:2
Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 K League 1
Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Dae-Won
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangwon 36 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangwon Gimcheon Sangmu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gangwon scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Gimcheon Sangmu has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gangwon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangwon VS Gimcheon Sangmu
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangwon

(Home)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
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Gimcheon Sangmu

(Away)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)