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Gangwon vs Incheon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gangwon host Incheon in the K League 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Gangwon have averaged 1.17 scored and 0.87 conceded recently, against Incheon's 1.17 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Gangwon have won 4 to Incheon's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Gangwon. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gangwon
35%
Draws
36%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Incheon haven't matched Gangwon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gangwon a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gangwon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 20%
Incheon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangwon Incheon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon
0:0
May 2, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
1:3
Jun 30, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangwon 49 / 100
Incheon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangwon Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gangwon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gangwon found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Incheon conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gangwon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangwon VS Incheon
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangwon

(Home)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
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Incheon

(Away)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)