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Gangwon vs Phnom Penh Crown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gangwon host Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Champions League 2. This one's hard to separate. Phnom Penh Crown have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Gangwon have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.14. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.13 - 1.63) back Phnom Penh Crown to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Gangwon
35%
Draws
48%
Phnom Penh Crown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Phnom Penh Crown have won more games recently than Gangwon.
  • Phnom Penh Crown are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 14%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangwon Phnom Penh Crown
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangwon 23 / 100
Phnom Penh Crown 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangwon Phnom Penh Crown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phnom Penh Crown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gangwon found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Phnom Penh Crown has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Gangwon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangwon VS Phnom Penh Crown
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangwon

(Home)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

Phnom Penh Crown

(Away)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Nasaf Qarshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Kuwait 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Jazira 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Gol Gohar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Muharraq 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Al Taawon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Al Nahda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al Faisaly Amman 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 East Bengal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Al Hussein 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Seeb 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Melbourne Victory 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Viettel 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Seoul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Lion City Sailors 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Pathum United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Tai Po 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Shanghai Shenhua 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Tampines 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Gangwon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kitchee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Kuching City FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)