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Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Horseed

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Horseed in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horseed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
28%
Draws
50%
Horseed
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Horseed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Horseed lately — more wins on the board than Gantaalaha Afgooye.
  • Model gives Horseed a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%
Horseed Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gantaalaha Afgooye Horseed
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 10
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.13 2.75
Goals Conceded 3.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Horseed
2:6
Apr 4, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Gantaalaha Afgooye
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 / 100
Horseed 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gantaalaha Afgooye Horseed

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gantaalaha Afgooye scored in 56% of their last 16 outings.

Defensive concern: Horseed conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Gantaalaha Afgooye went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gantaalaha Afgooye VS Horseed
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Heegan18124247:1540
2Gaadiidka17115146:1438
3Mogadishu City18115235:1138
4Elman18113432:1136
5Dekedda1897241:1934
6Horseed1897236:1634
7Jeenyo1846830:3018
8Badbaado17521029:2817
9Jazeera1745828:3417
10Raadsan17311322:4810
11Jubba18201611:736
12Gantaalaha Afgooye16111415:734