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Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye Logo

Gantaalaha Afgooye

0 - 1
FT
Jubba Logo

Jubba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jubba in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jubba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
15%
Draws
0%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gantaalaha Afgooye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gantaalaha Afgooye average 1.27 goals a game right now, well clear of Jubba's 0.77.
  • Model gives Gantaalaha Afgooye a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gantaalaha Afgooye Jubba
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 2 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.77
Goals Conceded 4.59 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Gantaalaha Afgooye
1:5
Jun 2, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Jubba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gantaalaha Afgooye 83 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gantaalaha Afgooye Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gantaalaha Afgooye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jubba let in goals in 91% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jubba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gantaalaha Afgooye found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (22 games).

Scoring Trends

Gantaalaha Afgooye VS Jubba
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
4.38 Goals Conceded 4.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gantaalaha Afgooye

(Home)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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Jubba

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)