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Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guizhou Guiyang

China China

League Two Dingnan Football Youth Training Center, Dingnan
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Wu Zhongcan In: Kong Yinquan
Out: Wu Zhongcan
62'
Sub
Xu Jiajun In: Liang Huan
Out: Xu Jiajun
63'
Sub
Zhao Yi In: Hu H.
Out: Zhao Yi

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Ganzhou Ruishi and Guizhou Guiyang finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guizhou Guiyang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ganzhou Ruishi
44%
Draws
20%
Guizhou Guiyang
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Guizhou Guiyang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guizhou Guiyang here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Ganzhou Ruishi Clean Sheet 23%
Guizhou Guiyang Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ganzhou Ruishi Guizhou Guiyang
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Ganzhou Ruishi
3:0
May 5, 2026 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guizhou Guiyang
0:1
Jul 2, 2025 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Ganzhou Ruishi
5:0
Apr 25, 2025 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Guizhou Guiyang
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ganzhou Ruishi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guizhou Guiyang Compare

Top Goalscorer Lu Wentao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ganzhou Ruishi 37 / 100
Guizhou Guiyang 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ganzhou Ruishi Guizhou Guiyang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Ganzhou Ruishi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ganzhou Ruishi found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Guizhou Guiyang let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ganzhou Ruishi VS Guizhou Guiyang
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ganzhou Ruishi

(Home)
25 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
3 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
18 Jul
Xiamen Feilu
0 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
11 Jul
Ganzhou Ruishi
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng B
04 Jul
Ganzhou Ruishi
4 : 4
Hubei Istar
28 Jun
Wenzhou Professional
0 : 1
Ganzhou Ruishi
Page 1 of 6

Guizhou Guiyang

(Away)
25 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
3 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
19 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 1
Guizhou Guiyang
05 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
1 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
27 Jun
Hubei Istar
2 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
23 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B18113426:1536
2Shanghai Port B17104331:1334
3Dalian Kewei1888216:832
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1793524:1530
5Taian Tiankuang1784520:1628
6Dalian Yingbo B1749415:1621
7Qingdao Red Lions1848620:1720
8Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1621047:1216
9Nantong Haimen1729616:1815
10Changchun Xidu172969:2115
11Shanghai Second1827918:3213
12Beijing Technology1616912:319
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang17111526:1334
2Shenzhen 20281896330:2233
3Hubei Istar1786326:1830
4Ganzhou Ruishi1867517:1825
5Xiamen Feilu1767425:1925
6Jiangxi Lushan1774620:1625
7Hangzhou Linping1859418:2424
8Guangdong Mingtu1849519:1921
9Guangzhou Dandelion1855818:2320
10Wenzhou Professional1737711:1916
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1836910:2015
12Wuhan Three Towns B1717910:1910
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)