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Ganzhou Ruishi vs Jiangxi Lushan

China China

League Two 2025 Dingnan Football Youth Training Center
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Match Events

53'
Liao Haochuan
65'
Sub
Liu Shuai In: Anqi Luo
Out: Liu Shuai
65'
Sub
Zhu Mingxin In: Liu G.
Out: Zhu Mingxin

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025 game between Ganzhou Ruishi and Jiangxi Lushan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jiangxi Lushan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ganzhou Ruishi
20%
Draws
38%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ganzhou Ruishi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Jiangxi Lushan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ganzhou Ruishi taking it.
  • Regular League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ganzhou Ruishi Clean Sheet 20%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ganzhou Ruishi Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Ganzhou Ruishi
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Jiangxi Lushan
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Ganzhou Ruishi
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ganzhou Ruishi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sun Yue
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ganzhou Ruishi 42 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ganzhou Ruishi Jiangxi Lushan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ganzhou Ruishi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jiangxi Lushan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Jiangxi Lushan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ganzhou Ruishi VS Jiangxi Lushan
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%