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Ganzhou Ruishi vs Xiamen Feilu

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AI Match Summary

Ganzhou Ruishi play Xiamen Feilu in the League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ganzhou Ruishi averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Xiamen Feilu averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Ganzhou Ruishi won 1, Xiamen Feilu won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Ganzhou Ruishi and 0.88 for Xiamen Feilu. This points to a Ganzhou Ruishi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ganzhou Ruishi
30%
Draws
33%
Xiamen Feilu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ganzhou Ruishi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ganzhou Ruishi picked up more points recently compared to Xiamen Feilu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Ganzhou Ruishi Clean Sheet 25%
Xiamen Feilu Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ganzhou Ruishi Xiamen Feilu
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.89 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Xiamen Feilu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ganzhou Ruishi Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdukerim Qaharman
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yu Keli
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Xiamen Feilu Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuxuan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ganzhou Ruishi 38 / 100
Xiamen Feilu 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ganzhou Ruishi Xiamen Feilu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ganzhou Ruishi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ganzhou Ruishi attacking → ← attacking Xiamen Feilu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ganzhou Ruishi scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Xiamen Feilu let in goals in 69% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ganzhou Ruishi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Xiamen Feilu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 24
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
2Shandong Taishan B1592422:1329
3Dalian Kewei1567212:725
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1538414:1417
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1525814:2711
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281575323:1826
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
5Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
6Ganzhou Ruishi1565416:1423
7Hangzhou Linping1547415:2219
8Guangzhou Dandelion1553716:1918
9Guangdong Mingtu1537515:1716
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B153489:1713
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179