Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Garcia Agreda vs Guabira

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2015/2016 game between Garcia Agreda and Guabira finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Garcia Agreda
30%
Draws
54%
Guabira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guabira come out ahead of Garcia Agreda on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Guabira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Garcia Agreda Clean Sheet 16%
Guabira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garcia Agreda Guabira
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 14 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Garcia Agreda vs Guabira
1:2
Feb 28, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Guabira vs Garcia Agreda
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garcia Agreda 28 / 100
Guabira 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garcia Agreda Guabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guabira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guabira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Garcia Agreda's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Garcia Agreda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guabira
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Garcia Agreda

(Home)
15 Jul
Garcia Agreda
1 : 4
Municipal de Tarija
09 Jul
Atletico Bermejo
3 : 0
Garcia Agreda
25 Jun
Garcia Agreda
0 : 0
Ciclon
18 Jun
Municipalidad de Yacuiba
2 : 1
Garcia Agreda
11 Jun
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 1
Garcia Agreda
Page 1 of 6

Guabira

(Away)
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0
Guabira
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Guabira
05 Sept
Guabira
1 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Tarija 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
2 Em Huanuni 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Royal Pari 6 2 2 2 4:3 8
4 Quebracho Villa Montes 6 2 0 4 5:9 6
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 6 5 1 0 15:2 16
2 Universitario Beni 6 2 2 2 7:10 8
3 Aurora 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
4 Garcia Agreda 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Final Stage)