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Garde Republicaine vs APR

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Ouattara Dj.
40' Event
Ouattara Dj.
45' Event
Traore M.

AI Match Summary

APR in this CECAFA Kagame Cup tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Garde Republicaine
33%
Draws
40%
APR
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to APR lately — more wins on the board than Garde Republicaine.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on APR taking it.
  • APR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor APR, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 10%
APR Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garde Republicaine APR
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.33 2
Goals Conceded 2 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Garde Republicaine vs APR
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garde Republicaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Abaneh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

APR Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara Dj.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Traore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garde Republicaine 26 / 100
APR 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garde Republicaine APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Garde Republicaine scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: APR conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Garde Republicaine stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Garde Republicaine VS APR
0.33 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Garde Republicaine

(Home)
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0
FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0
Garde Republicaine
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 6

APR

(Away)
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
23 May
APR
2 : 1
Rayon Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers22004:06
2Mahia21015:13
3APR21013:63
4Garde Republicaine20021:60
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus11002:03
2Simba10100:01
3Mogadishu City10100:01
4Singida Black Stars10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman11002:03
2Rayon Sport11002:03
3Tusker10010:20
4KVZ10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams