Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Ouattara Dj.
40'
40'
Ouattara Dj.
45'
45'
Traore M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to APR lately — more wins on the board than Garde Republicaine.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on APR taking it.
- APR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor APR, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 10%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Garde Republicaine | APR |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Garde Republicaine vs APR
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Garde Republicaine Compare
Top Goalscorer Abaneh M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
APR Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouattara Dj.
2 Goals Assists Leader Traore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Garde Republicaine 10 / 100
APR 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Garde Republicaine APR
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Garde Republicaine scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: APR conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Garde Republicaine stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Garde Republicaine VS APR
0.33 Goals Scored 2
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Garde Republicaine
(Home) 30 Jul
Mahia
1 : 0 Garde Republicaine
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3 APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0 Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0 FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0 Garde Republicaine
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3 APR
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0 FC Arta
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2 Gendarmerie
03 Apr
Garde Republicaine
1 : 0 Hopital
18 Feb
Garde Republicaine
0 : 0 AS Arta
Page 1 of 3
APR
(Away) 16 Sept
APR
4 : 2 Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0 Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0 APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1 Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3 APR
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0 APR
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3 APR
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2 APR
02 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1 APR
25 Apr
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 3 APR
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | APR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Garde Republicaine | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Simba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Mogadishu City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayon Sport | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tusker | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | KVZ | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | 0 |
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
