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Garde Republicaine vs ASAS

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASAS in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Garde Republicaine
35%
Draws
39%
ASAS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASAS lately — more wins on the board than Garde Republicaine.
  • ASAS are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ASAS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 10%
ASAS Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garde Republicaine ASAS
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.09 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Division 1
ASAS vs Garde Republicaine
3:0
Dec 26, 2024 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs ASAS
0:2
Mar 1, 2024 Division 1
ASAS vs Garde Republicaine
3:1
Oct 23, 2023 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs ASAS
1:2
Mar 24, 2023 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs ASAS
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garde Republicaine 14 / 100
ASAS 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garde Republicaine ASAS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garde Republicaine scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

ASAS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Garde Republicaine remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Garde Republicaine VS ASAS
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Garde Republicaine

(Home)
30 Jul
Mahia
1 : 0
Garde Republicaine
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0
FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0
Garde Republicaine
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ASAS

(Away)
12 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
ZED FC
06 Sept
ZED FC
4 : 0
ASAS
27 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
21 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 0
ASAS
24 May
ASAS
10 : 3
Hopital
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)