Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gardony Varosi vs Bonyhad

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gardony Varosi play Bonyhad in the NB III - Southwest 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gardony Varosi averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Bonyhad averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Gardony Varosi won 0, Bonyhad won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 4, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Gardony Varosi and 1.75 for Bonyhad. This points to a Bonyhad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gardony Varosi
18%
Draws
45%
Bonyhad
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bonyhad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Gardony Varosi picked up more points recently compared to Bonyhad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Gardony Varosi Clean Sheet 12%
Bonyhad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardony Varosi Bonyhad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Bonyhad
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Bonyhad vs Gardony Varosi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gardony Varosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemeth P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bonyhad Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagy D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardony Varosi 36 / 100
Bonyhad 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardony Varosi Bonyhad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bonyhad or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gardony Varosi attacking → ← attacking Bonyhad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gardony Varosi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Bonyhad let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Gardony Varosi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bonyhad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 32
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nagykanizsa FC30235273:2474
2Ivancsa30215494:2668
3Ferencvaros II301712167:3163
4Kaposvar30188478:3362
5Pecsi MFC30186666:2960
6Siofok301510556:3255
7Paks II301261251:4642
8Majosi301171240:4540
9MTK Budapest II301151458:5738
10Dunaharaszti MTK301081247:4538
11Bonyhad301051538:5535
12Szekszardi30671730:5425
13PTE-PEAC30632127:7021
14Fonix Gold30632136:9021
15Gardony Varosi30561934:7121
16Dunafoldvar30142522:1097